Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 31.5 | 92% |
| O/U 33.5 | 91% |
| O/U 35.5 | 86% |
| O/U 37.5 | 84% |
| O/U 39.5 | 80% |
| Kansas O/U 16.5 | 75% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| Missouri O/U 21.5 | 73% |
| Missouri O/U 22.5 | 72% |
| O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Kansas O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| Missouri O/U 23.5 | 69% |
| Kansas O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| Missouri vs. Kansas | 66% |
| Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| O/U 45.5 | 66% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Missouri O/U 24.5 | 62% |
| 1H Moneyline | 62% |
| O/U 47.5 | 61% |
| Kansas O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| Missouri O/U 25.5 | 61% |
| Kansas O/U 0.5 | 60% |
| Missouri O/U 26.5 | 59% |
| O/U 49.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 57% |
| Missouri O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| O/U 50.5 | 54% |
| Missouri O/U 27.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Kansas O/U 22.5 | 53% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| Kansas O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Missouri O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Isaiah Marshall: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Nahzae Cox: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Brett Norfleet: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Malae Fonoti: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Micah Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Jude James: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| DaMarion Fowlkes: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Austin Simmons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cayden Lee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Bruhn: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Xai'Shaun Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Dupree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keaton Kubecka: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Naeshaun Montgomery: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Butler: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caleb Goodie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Donald Collier: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Shaun Terry II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordon Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kansas O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Missouri O/U 28.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Missouri O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| Kansas O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| O/U 53.5 | 45% |
| Jamal Roberts: Anytime Touchdown | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Missouri O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| Kansas O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Missouri O/U 30.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 55.5 | 41% |
| Kansas O/U 25.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread: Missouri (-7.5) | 40% |
| Donovan Olugbode: Anytime Touchdown | 39% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Kansas O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Dylan Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 38% |
| Kansas O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Yasin Willis: Anytime Touchdown | 37% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Nik McMillan: Anytime Touchdown | 36% |
| Missouri O/U 31.5 | 36% |
| Spread -10.5 | 35% |
| Spread -34.5 | 35% |
| O/U 57.5 | 35% |
| Missouri O/U 32.5 | 35% |
| Missouri O/U 33.5 | 34% |
| O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| Kansas O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| Missouri O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| O/U 61.5 | 27% |
| Kansas O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| Missouri O/U 35.5 | 25% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| O/U 63.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| O/U 65.5 | 20% |
| Spread -20.5 | 15% |
| O/U 67.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| O/U 71.5 | 12% |
| Spread -31.5 | 10% |
| Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 92% probability to missouri vs. kansas. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri and Kansas, scheduled for September 11 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. This market will resolve to…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $160K.
Methodology
We track Missouri vs. Kansas across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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