Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Atalanta BC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 80% |
| Atalanta BC (-1.5) | 50% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Atalanta BC O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Atalanta BC O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Atalanta BC O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Atalanta BC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Atalanta BC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| O/U 4.5 | 17% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5) | 12% |
| O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5) | 2% |
| Atalanta BC (-2.5) | 2% |
| O/U 5.5 | 2% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Atalanta BC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing **YES** at 12% for this “more markets” contract, so the implied view is that there is a relatively small chance the Club Friendlies fixture between Feyenoord Rotterdam and Atalanta BC produces an additional qualifying market outcome before settlement closes at 13:00 UTC. On Polymarket, that exposure is held in USDC on Polygon and resolved through conditional tokens, so the trade is really about whether the specific market condition is triggered, not simply who wins the match.
That 12% level sits well below most pre-match football expectations for a friendly with two established European sides. Feyenoord have recent friendly wins over Charleroi and Club Brugge on their summer schedule, while Atalanta also enter with recognised top-flight quality, which is why third-party match models and previews tend to frame the game as competitive rather than lopsided. Comparable pre-season or friendly contracts often stay muted unless a market is clearly defined by a volatile event such as a large scoreline, a late squad announcement, or a niche stat line; without that kind of trigger, prices usually track low-teens rather than drifting into favourite territory.
For traders, the main catalysts are team-sheet announcements, last-minute rotation, and whether the match proceeds on the published schedule at De Kuip. BBC’s live listings place Feyenoord versus Atalanta as a 14:00 kick-off, while ESPN’s live page shows the fixture in progress and already reflecting an early penalty goal, underlining how quickly friendly-state information can change once line-ups land.[1][3] Any dependency in the specific “more markets” definition — for example, goals, corners, cards, or player participation — matters more than the headline fixture itself, because settlement follows the contract’s exact conditional token logic on-chain, not the broader sporting narrative.
Methodology
This page reviews Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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