Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Alashkert FA O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Alashkert FA 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Alashkert FA (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-1.5) | 0% |
| Alashkert FA (-2.5) | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Alashkert FA 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Alashkert’s Europa Conference League tie with CFR Cluj is priced at **0% YES** on Polymarket for the “more markets” contract, with the outcome settling through the site’s USDC-based conditional tokens on Polygon once the match-specific condition resolves. In practical terms, that means the market is treating the relevant add-on outcome as effectively off the board, even though the real-world fixture is still listed for 23 July at 11:00 AM ET.
The clearest historical frame is the head-to-head record: CFR Cluj have won both previous meetings, with Alashkert failing to score in those games and CFR taking a 7-0 aggregate edge[1]. That kind of one-sided precedent matters more for how traders read a zero-priced “more markets” contract than the abstract team names do, because these side markets often hinge on whether a match produces enough goals, cards, corners, or other thresholds to unlock a settlement path. A 0% crowd price usually reflects either an already-obvious match state, a resolution rule that looks unreachable, or a market that has effectively lost liquidity.
The main catalysts are pre-match team news, late schedule changes, and any clarification on which exact “more markets” condition is being referenced in the settlement rules. If line-ups or competition updates alter the expected match state before kick-off, that can matter for related Polymarket positions even when the crowd-implied price stays pinned. For users watching the on-chain mechanics, the practical question is whether the final event data available to the oracle and the market rules still support any non-zero path to settlement before the window closes.
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page reviews Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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