Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns contract at **100% YES**, which means the on-chain market on Polygon is effectively treating a Warriors win as fully reflected in USDC-denominated conditional tokens. On Polymarket, shares in the correct outcome redeem for $1 when the market resolves, so a 100% print implies there is no remaining discount for downside or uncertainty in the final settlement path.[9]

That extreme pricing sits in sharp contrast to pre-match cricket previews, which were much closer to a coin flip. Independent match-prediction coverage before the scheduled July 23 fixture split the contest around 50-50, with one outlet giving Guyana and San Francisco each a 50% chance and another leaning narrowly to San Francisco at 52%-48%, while a separate preview tipped Guyana to win.[1][2][3] For Polymarket users, that matters because it shows the current contract is not anchored to pre-toss or pre-play opinions; it is being marked against the actual result flow, with settlement ultimately determined by ESPNcricinfo’s finalised scoreline.[9]

The main catalysts for traders are confirmation of the completed result, any official abandonment or revised playing conditions, and whether the scorecard is finalised with a normal win, DLS outcome, or an on-field tiebreak, all of which the market rules treat as an ordinary result if the competition declares a winner.[9] The fixture was listed for Providence Stadium in Guyana, with live coverage and score updates appearing across cricket media once play began, so the practical watchpoint is whether ESPNcricinfo publishes a finished result that matches the market’s resolution criteria.[4][7][8][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.