Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 100% |
| The Hundred, Women: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred, Women: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Birmingham Phoenix and Trent Rockets will meet in The Hundred Women's competition on 24 July 2026. The Hundred is a 100-ball domestic cricket format played across England and Wales, with matches typically lasting around two and a half hours. This particular fixture falls within the group stage of the tournament, with the settlement window extending to 31 July to accommodate any scheduling adjustments or reserve days. Polymarket currently prices Birmingham Phoenix victory at 0%, reflecting either extreme confidence in Trent Rockets or, more likely, a liquidity artefact in an early-stage market where conditional token depth remains thin on the YES side.
The Hundred Women has operated since 2021, establishing a competitive baseline for both franchises. Trent Rockets reached the 2022 final and have consistently fielded competitive squads, whilst Birmingham Phoenix won the inaugural tournament in 2021. Historical head-to-head records between these sides show competitive balance, though franchise rosters shift annually through player retention and auction mechanics. The 0% pricing likely reflects minimal trading activity rather than fundamental certainty about the outcome, a common pattern in niche sports markets on Polygon-based platforms where USDC liquidity concentrates on higher-profile events.
Traders should monitor squad announcements through May and June 2026, as injuries or international call-ups can materially shift match dynamics. The ECB's official fixture list and team news from both franchises' social channels will signal any changes to playing personnel. Weather conditions on match day in Birmingham will also factor into strategy, particularly given the format's sensitivity to rain and the potential for DLS adjustments. Settlement hinges on ESPN Cricinfo's published result, making that source the definitive reference point for resolution.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $69K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade The Hundred, Women: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rockets on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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