The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this contract at **0% YES**, so the on-chain market is effectively saying there is no live conviction that MI London will beat Manchester Super Giants Women, despite the fixture still being resolvable through ESPNcricinfo’s final published result. The contract settles in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens, so the only outcome that matters is the official match outcome, including any DLS, walkover, forfeit or on-field tiebreak ruling that the competition recognises as a win.

For historical context, Manchester Super Giants arrived into this matchup with the stronger recent record in the head-to-head and in this season’s early table position. ESPN’s series data shows Manchester Super Giants had already beaten MI London in the 2024 Hundred women’s competition, and an ESPN match report from 2 August 2026 records another Manchester win by six wickets after MI London were restricted to 92.[12][11] Earlier in the current campaign, Manchester Super Giants also opened with a seven-wicket win over London Spirit, while MI London had been winless, which helps explain why a near-zero price can persist when traders look at team form rather than pre-match branding.[14][7]

The main catalysts for traders are squad and toss information, plus any interruption risk that could alter how the result is decided. Cricbuzz listed Manchester Super Giants Women as having won the toss and chosen to bowl at the Kia Oval, which is usually a meaningful in-play edge in a short-format chase, especially if conditions are consistent and the side batting second can pace the target.[1] Any late injury update, weather delay, or abandonment would matter because the market resolves to the official competition result rather than the scoreline alone; once ESPNcricinfo posts the final scorecard, that is the reference point for settlement.[11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.