Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedom - Who wins the toss? | 100% |
| Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedom - Completed match? | 75% |
| Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedom | 0% |
Market context
The San Francisco Unicorns and Washington Freedom have already played their 19th Major League Cricket match on 16 July 2026, with Washington Freedom winning by seven runs, as confirmed by ESPNcricinfo [3]. This means the underlying event for the prediction market titled “Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedom” has concluded, and the outcome is no longer uncertain.
Historically, when a match result is already known and published by ESPNcricinfo, Polymarket contracts tied to that event settle immediately at 0% or 100% depending on the outcome, regardless of when the settlement window officially closes. The current 0% YES price reflects that the Unicorns did not win; Washington Freedom secured the victory [3]. In comparable cases, such as earlier 2026 MLC matches where results were published before settlement deadlines, markets resolved within hours of the official scorecard release, with no further trading activity [1][2].
Traders should monitor the official ESPNcricinfo match result page for any rare post-match rulings, though DLS, DRS, or over-rate penalties are treated as ordinary wins per the market rules [1]. No new announcements or schedule changes are expected, as the match has already been completed. The only dependency is the finalisation of the result on ESPNcricinfo, which has already occurred, making further price movement unlikely [3].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $161K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Wash… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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