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Counter-Strike: G2 vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: G2 vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Match Winner 90% Map 2 Winner 87% Map 1 Winner 79% Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5) 70% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $201K Closes: 10 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: G2 vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner90%
Map 2 Winner87%
Map 1 Winner79%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)70%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.563%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs 5star (+3.5)62%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs 5star (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-6.5) vs 5star (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-6.5) vs 5star (+6.5)46%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.538%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.534%
O/U 2.5 Games28%

Market context

Market consensus: 90% chance of counter-strike: g2 vs 5star (bo3) - fissure playground group a. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between G2 and 5star in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: G2 vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: G2 vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROU… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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