Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Nemesis faces Vici Gaming in a Group C Dota 2 match at the Esports World Cup in Paris, scheduled for 14:00 UTC today. On Polymarket, the contract for Team Nemesis to win trades at a 0% implied probability, priced in USDC on Polygon using conditional tokens, reflecting near-total market consensus that the CIS-based squad cannot overcome their Chinese opponent in this BO2 format.

Historical data from Group C frames this pricing: Team Nemesis sits at 0–1–2 with a 1–5 map record, while Vici Gaming holds a 1–0–2 record with 2–4 maps won, despite both teams struggling against top contenders like PVISION and Team Spirit [5]. Comparable cases in this tournament show that teams with negative map ratios and zero wins against tier-one opposition rarely recover, with previous Group C underdogs failing to secure a single victory once their initial momentum collapsed, reinforcing the 0% valuation for Nemesis.

Traders should monitor the live match feed for any cancellation or delay beyond seven days, which would trigger a 50–50 settlement, and watch for Vici Gaming’s draft choices, as their recent loss to Team Spirit highlights vulnerability to specific meta strategies [6]. The match is already underway as map #1 begins, so real-time score updates on GosuGamers or Sofascore will determine resolution before the 20:10 UTC settlement window closes [1][4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.