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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 77% Game 1 Winner 68% Game 2 Winner 68% First Blood in Game 2? 54% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $448K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner77%
Game 1 Winner68%
Game 2 Winner68%
First Blood in Game 2?54%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?50%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)49%
O/U 2.5 Games41%
Both Teams Beat Roshan33%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks33%
Both Teams Beat Roshan32%
Both Teams Beat Roshan32%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Any Player Rampage30%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Any Player Ultra Kill23%
Any Player Ultra Kill23%
Any Player Rampage12%
Any Player Rampage6%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: team vision vs team yandex (bo3) - the international playoffs stands at 77% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between TEAM VISION and Team Yandex in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The Inter… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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