Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

The FIFA World Cup Round of 32 clash between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway is set for tomorrow at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, with the match kicking off at 1:00 PM ET. On Polymarket, this contract currently trades at a 7% probability for the specific "Exact Score" outcome, reflecting the market's view that such a precise result is a low-probability event compared to the broader win or draw possibilities. The on-chain mechanics utilise USDC on the Polygon network, where conditional tokens allow traders to speculate on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.

Historical data frames this low probability by highlighting the defensive volatility of both sides in recent World Cup fixtures. Côte d'Ivoire has averaged 1.6 points per match with only 0.6 opponent points in their last five games, while Norway recently suffered a 4-1 defeat to France, breaking their peculiar streak of only losing to Italy in finals phases. Bookmakers currently price Norway as the favourite with odds of 2.05 against Côte d'Ivoire at 3.55, suggesting a tight contest where a single goal could swing the result, making any specific exact score a rare occurrence compared to the more likely 1-0 or 2-1 margins seen in similar knockout games.

Traders should monitor the official team lineups released tomorrow morning and any pre-match injury updates, as these are the primary catalysts for score volatility. The match schedule is fixed, but any postponement would keep the market open until completion, while a cancellation would resolve the contract based on the rules. Recent analysis from Unibet emphasises the importance of Norway's attacking form, noting their qualification odds, which traders can cross-reference with live odds movements on major sportsbooks to gauge shifting sentiment before the final whistle.

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Methodology

This page reviews Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.