Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Anyang | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Bucheon FC 1995 and FC Anyang are scheduled to meet in the K-League at Bucheon Stadium, and Polymarket is pricing the contract at **0% YES** on the current crowd-implied line, with settlement due when the match window closes later today. On Polymarket, that means the market is being funded in USDC on Polygon and resolved through the event’s conditional-token structure, so traders are effectively weighing the match against the exchange price, not simply the football fixture in isolation.
For historical context, the head-to-head record leans towards Anyang: across 48 previous meetings, Anyang have 20 wins to Bucheon’s 13, with 15 draws, which is consistent with a market that would usually expect a competitive, low-margin game rather than a one-sided outcome.[7] Comparable pre-match pricing also points to a fairly tight contest, with average 1x2 odds around 2.45 for the away side, 2.88 for Bucheon and 3.10 for the draw, while one stats feed gives Anyang a 48% win probability versus 23% for the draw.[4][5][6]
The main catalysts for traders are line-ups, late injury or suspension news, and any confirmation of rotation that changes the expected starting XI before kick-off. The fixture is already listed by live-score and fixture services, and some markets show no prior prediction flow, which can matter on thinly traded contracts where a single team-news update can move the implied price sharply.[2][3] With settlement tied to the match outcome, the key watchpoint is whether pre-match information confirms the market’s current low-confidence stance or forces a repricing once the teams are announced.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $168K.
Methodology
This page reviews Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang on PolyGram
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