Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Charlotte FC | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM | 0% |
Market context
Charlotte FC vs Pumas de la UNAM is priced at **100% YES** on Polymarket, so the contract is trading as if the Leagues Cup fixture will be played and settle inside the market’s window. On Polymarket, that means users are effectively holding USDC-backed conditional tokens on Polygon rather than betting on a vague proposition in the abstract.
The current read is straightforward because there is no meaningful head-to-head history to anchor a different view: several fixtures databases list no prior meetings between Charlotte and Pumas, while match listings place the game at Bank of America Stadium on 4 August 2026 local time, which was 5 August UTC. Charlotte’s recent MLS form has been mixed but competitive, while Pumas entered off a strong Apertura start, including wins over Juárez and Toluca and a heavy loss to Pachuca in July.[1][4][6][11] For a market already pinned at 100%, that kind of context matters more for related derivatives than for the settlement itself.
The main catalysts a trader would watch are not team quality so much as event integrity: confirmation that the Leagues Cup schedule holds, that the match is not postponed or rescheduled, and that the official competition classification remains unchanged through the settlement window. Because the contract resolves on whether this specific fixture occurs as scheduled, any delay announcement, venue change, or administrative cancellation would matter more than line-up news or short-term form.[4][8][11]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $147K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM on PolyGram
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