Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Charlotte FC (-1.5) | 100% |
| Charlotte FC (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5) | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Charlotte FC and Pumas UNAM meet in the Leagues Cup at Bank of America Stadium, and Polymarket is pricing the **“More Markets”** contract at **100% YES** today, which on-chain means the market is effectively treating those ancillary outcomes as already resolved or near-certain within the settlement rules on Polygon with USDC-backed conditional tokens. For a trader, that is a very different signal from judging the football match itself: the contract is not about who wins in abstraction, but whether the additional market conditions tied to this fixture are met before the settlement window closes.
The main historical guide here is the lack of direct head-to-head precedent. Multiple match listings note that Charlotte and Pumas had no recorded prior meetings before this Leagues Cup fixture, which makes comparable reading depend more on each side’s recent form and tournament context than on a true matchup history.[1][3][5] Charlotte’s recent run in MLS was mixed, including a loss at Chicago and wins over New York Red Bulls, New England and Toronto, while Pumas arrived after a strong 5-1 win at Juárez and a 2-1 win at Toluca in Liga MX play.[6][11] In comparable cup settings, first-time inter-league meetings often compress uncertainty, but a 100% crowd price suggests the market has already taken the relevant catalyst risk out of the equation.[8]
The practical catalysts to watch are line-up confirmations, any late schedule changes, and whether the Leagues Cup organisers or the clubs alter match-day registration or competition status before the settlement deadline.[4][8] Because this is a Polymarket contract settled in USDC on Polygon, the key trading risk is not ordinary football volatility but whether the on-chain outcome matches the event data used for resolution. If the match proceeds as listed at 8:00 PM ET on 4 August and the associated market conditions are met without administrative changes, the contract’s current 100% YES pricing reflects that the crowd expects no remaining settlement ambiguity.[4][6]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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