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CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $608K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
CF Monterrey O/U 0.5100%
CF Monterrey O/U 1.5100%
Nashville SC O/U 0.5100%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
CF Monterrey 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
CF Monterrey 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
CF Monterrey (-1.5)0%
Nashville SC (-1.5)0%
CF Monterrey (-2.5)0%
Nashville SC (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
CF Monterrey O/U 2.50%
Nashville SC O/U 1.50%
Nashville SC O/U 2.50%
CF Monterrey 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CF Monterrey 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

CF Monterrey will face Nashville SC in a Leagues Cup fixture on 12 August at 8:00 PM ET. The market currently shows 0% implied probability for the "More Markets" contract, reflecting either minimal trading activity or a technical settlement condition that hasn't yet crystallised on-chain. On Polymarket, this conditional token sits dormant until the underlying match generates sufficient secondary markets—a common pattern for sports events where the platform expands its offering as event date approaches. The USDC-denominated contract trades on Polygon, settling based on whether additional betting markets materialise around this specific fixture.

Comparable Leagues Cup matches from previous tournaments show variable liquidity patterns depending on team prominence and fixture timing. Nashville SC's 2024 Leagues Cup campaign drew modest trading volumes relative to marquee Mexican clubs, whilst Monterrey's established fanbase typically generates stronger engagement. The 0% reading likely reflects the settlement window's distance rather than market conviction; similar "meta-markets" on Polymarket have activated sharply in the 48 hours before event kickoff as traders seek exposure to secondary market proliferation.

Catalysts for movement centre on official Polymarket announcements regarding market expansion for this fixture, typically published 3–7 days before match day. The Leagues Cup schedule remains fixed, but any late team news—injuries to key players, unexpected roster changes—could influence whether Polymarket deems additional markets commercially viable. Traders should monitor Polymarket's official channels and the broader Leagues Cup fixture calendar, as market creation decisions often cluster around high-profile matchups within the tournament.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Related Topics

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