🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $1.5M Liquidity: $2.8M Closes: 28 Aug 2026
Open live market →
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?99%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?74%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?74%
O/U 3.5 Games71%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 4 Winner49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Game 3 Winner46%
Game 2 Winner42%
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)33%
O/U 4.5 Games32%
Match Winner26%
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)7%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: BRO (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: hanjin brion vs bnk fearx (bo5) - lck play-in. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Play-In, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

We track LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →