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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 56% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 54% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 54% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 54% Volume: $54K Liquidity: $697K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?54%
Game 1 Winner53%
Game 2 Winner53%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
First Blood in Game 2?53%
Match Winner52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor46%
Any Player Quadra Kill46%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors45%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?42%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

The LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 56% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Kiwoom DRX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 9 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEA…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 R… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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