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LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Live odds for "LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5) 72% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 68% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 68% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? 68% Volume: $757K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)72%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?68%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?68%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?68%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?63%
O/U 3.5 Games59%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?42%
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?38%
Game 4 Winner37%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?36%
Game 2 Winner28%
Game 3 Winner28%
Game 1 Winner27%
O/U 4.5 Games24%
Match Winner17%

Market context

Market consensus: 72% chance of lol: mvk esports vs karmine corp (bo5) - worlds play-in. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and Karmine Corp in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This ma…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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