LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the Team Liquid–Sentinels Bo3 at **100% YES**, which implies the contract is effectively trading at the top of the range on the prediction market itself rather than merely reflecting a strong favourite in the abstract. On Polymarket, these shares are bought and sold in USDC on Polygon, and the contract settles via conditional tokens: if Team Liquid are judged the winner, YES pays out, while a non-result, cancellation, or excessive delay would route to the market’s fallback terms instead.[3][15]

That near-certain price is best read against the recent head-to-head record. In the most recent comparable meeting, Team Liquid beat Sentinels 2–1 in LCS Spring 2026 regular season play, although Sentinels had also taken an earlier series in the same broader 2026 cycle.[1][9][18] Comparable market snapshots around prior meetings were far less extreme than today’s 100% print, with Polymarket showing a roughly even split before the earlier July/August slot and third-party model pages frequently calling Team Liquid the favourite rather than a certainty.[3][5][11]

For traders, the key catalysts are not just the teams’ form but whether the match remains on schedule and officially goes to a completed winner before the settlement window closes. The market description allows a 50–50 outcome if the series is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a result, so any Riot schedule change, venue issue, or official postponement matters as much as in-game strength. The relevant event listing places the Bo3 on 2 August at 7:00PM ET, and the contract is designed to resolve from the official match outcome rather than from pre-match odds or live scorelines.[3][10][15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.