LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Solid has already secured a 1–0 victory over RMD Gaming in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, confirming the outcome that the Polymarket contract now prices at 100% YES. On Polygon, this USDC-backed conditional token reflects a settled reality rather than a speculative forecast, as the match result is officially recorded on Sheep Esports. The 100% probability aligns with the definitive win already achieved, leaving no on-chain uncertainty for the settlement window ending in July 2026.

Historical precedents in League of Legends prediction markets show that contracts pricing at 100% before the settlement deadline typically resolve without deviation when the official result is already public. Similar cases in CBLOL and regional circuits demonstrate that once a match concludes with a clear winner, conditional tokens on Polymarket cease trading volatility and lock into the declared outcome. The absence of cancellation or delay clauses in this specific market further reinforces the certainty, as the game was completed within the standard seven-day window.

Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any post-match disqualifications or administrative rulings that could alter the declared winner, though none are currently anticipated. The primary catalyst remains the formal confirmation by the tournament organiser, which Kalshi’s parallel market structure confirms as the binding resolution trigger for forfeit or disqualification scenarios. With the result already public and the match completed, no further gameplay dependencies exist to influence the final settlement.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.