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LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 72% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 64% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 63% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $539K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon72%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?63%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Game 1 Winner34%
Game 2 Winner34%
Match Winner28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%

Market context

The LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend prediction market currently prices this outcome at 73% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 24 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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