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Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 69% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 56% Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians 54% O/U 7.5 52% Volume: $217K Liquidity: $859K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.569%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians54%
O/U 7.552%
NRFI46%
O/U 8.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.541%
Spread -1.540%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.526%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.523%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.520%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.513%
Extra Innings6%

Market context

Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians — current market-implied probability: 69%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This ma…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 69% for "Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 69% Other 31%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $217K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports