Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chicago Fire FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chicago Fire FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Charlotte FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Chicago Fire FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Charlotte FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chicago Fire FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chicago Fire FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Chicago Fire FC and Charlotte FC are scheduled for an MLS regular-season match at Soldier Field, and Polymarket is currently pricing the **“More Markets”** contract at **0% YES** despite the game being live on the fixture list and set for the 8:30 p.m. ET window.[1][4] On Polymarket, that means the market is trading on USDC via Polygon, with resolution determined by the conditional tokens tied to whether any additional listed outcome or market condition in this event set is ultimately triggered before the settlement window closes.[4]
That zero bid looks extreme against the recent comparison set. These clubs have been volatile but productive when they meet: Chicago beat Charlotte 3-2 at Soldier Field in June 2025, then won 4-1 in Charlotte in May 2025, while Charlotte had earlier won 1-0 in Chicago in 2024.[7][12][18][16] The broader series has produced 17 goals across the last three meetings cited by preview coverage, which is the kind of scoring pattern that usually gives “more markets” contracts room to resolve positive if the platform’s enumerated extras are posted or activated.[17]
A trader watching this contract should focus on the match-centred catalysts rather than the abstract result: official line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, whether both clubs keep the same attacking structure from recent meetings, and whether Polymarket lists or updates the exact eligible sub-markets before kickoff.[1][4] Chicago’s own match preview confirms the Soldier Field return and Apple TV broadcast, while recent preview writing notes both sides are still in a play-off race and that Chicago had just suffered a 3-1 defeat to New York City before this fixture, which can affect how aggressively the market expects the game to be played.[1][17]
Methodology
This page reviews Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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