Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Charlotte FC | 91% |
| Draw | 8% |
| Atlanta United FC | 3% |
Market context
Charlotte FC host Atlanta United FC in MLS, and Polymarket’s contract is pricing a **90% YES** outcome before the settlement window closes at 2026-07-23T00:15:00Z. On Polymarket, that means users are trading the result through **USDC** on **Polygon**, with the market reflecting the crowd’s view of whether the game lands inside the defined event terms rather than an abstract read on team strength.
That kind of price is steep, but it is consistent with the pre-match lean from several previews, which put Charlotte as the stronger side at home and often forecast a home win by a two-goal margin. Recent match previews and betting write-ups have repeatedly framed Atlanta as the less convincing form team, with predictions ranging from 2-0 to 3-1 Charlotte and one note highlighting Atlanta’s run without a competitive win as a reason the market favours the hosts.[1][2][3]
For traders, the key catalysts are straightforward: confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the game keeps the expected kickoff at Bank of America Stadium under the listed TV window. The match was scheduled for Wednesday, 22 July, with kickoff reported at 8:15 pm ET, shown on FS1 and Apple TV, so a delay, weather issue, or unexpected squad announcement can still move live sentiment before settlement.[4][8]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $200K.
Methodology
This page reviews Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →