Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| SK Brann | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| IK Start | 0% |
Market context
SK Brann defeated IK Start 2–1 in their Norway Eliteserien clash at Brann Stadion on Sunday, 12 July 2026, confirming the outcome that the Polymarket contract priced at 100% YES had already locked in. On-chain, this means the conditional token for “YES” has settled at full redemption value in USDC on Polygon, with no further price volatility possible as the event is complete.
Historically, Brann holds a clear edge in this fixture, winning eight of the 16 previous meetings while Start secured four and four ended in draws[2]. Bookmakers consistently priced Brann as heavy favourites ahead of this match, with odds around 1.40 implying a 74% win probability, reflecting their stronger standing in the league table—11th with 13 points versus Start’s 16th with 7 points after 14 matches[2][9]. The 2–1 result aligns with this pattern, reinforcing how past head-to-head data and league form reliably frame such high-confidence contracts.
Traders should monitor official Eliteserien schedules and post-match reports for any late fixture changes or disciplinary actions that could affect future rounds, though none apply to this settled market. With the game already played and confirmed by ESPN and multiple score trackers, the only remaining catalyst is the formal settlement confirmation on Polymarket, which triggers automatic USDC distribution to YES holders[3][1]. No new announcements will alter the outcome, as the result is final and verifiable across independent sports data sources[1][3].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $89K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade SK Brann vs. IK Start on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →