Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Porto | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| SCU Torreense | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this Supertaça Cândido de Oliveira contract at **100% YES**, so the market is treating FC Porto versus SCU Torreense as fully settled in favour of the stated outcome on Polygon, with USDC collateral backing the conditional tokens. The on-chain price leaves almost no room for uncertainty: if the exchange’s data feed and resolution wording match the actual result, holders are already being priced as if there is no remaining event risk.
That reading fits the broader football context. Porto are the established heavyweight in this tie, while Torreense enter as the cup winners and underdogs in a one-off final; recent match coverage also placed Porto ahead, with one pre-match guide estimating a Porto win at 51.6% and a 1-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome. [12] The historical angle is that this is not a routine league fixture but a season-opening super cup, where form, squad rotation, and late summer readiness tend to matter more than table position. [1][6]
For traders, the practical catalysts are official team sheets, any late injury or suspension update, and confirmation of kick-off and venue, which were set for Estádio Cidade de Coimbra at 19:15 UTC by match listings and FC Porto’s own preview. [4][6][11] Because the settlement window ends on 2026-08-01T19:15:00Z, the main dependency is not the broader narrative but the exact match result as recorded by the resolution source; any mismatch between live coverage and the market’s settled definition would matter more than pre-match sentiment.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $97K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade FC Porto vs. SCU Torreense on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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