Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 0% |
Market context
FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara defeated FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 3–0 in their Romanian SuperLiga clash on 20 July 2026 at Arad’s Stadionul Francisc von Neumann, confirming the 100% YES settlement for the first-scorer contract on Polymarket[8]. On-chain, this contract resolved instantly via Polygon using USDC, where conditional tokens automatically transferred to YES holders once the official match result was verified, bypassing manual intervention[10]. The 100% probability reflects the event’s completion rather than speculative pricing, as the market closed post-match with the outcome already determined.
Historically, SuperLiga season openers involving newly licensed teams like Corvinul often feature defensive fragility, yet Corvinul’s 3–0 win aligns with their +36% superiority in goals scored against Csíkszereda in six prior meetings[12]. Comparable early-season fixtures in Romania’s top flight show home (or neutral-venue) favourites with strong attacking metrics typically resolve first-scorer markets within 15 minutes, mirroring the certainty seen here where Corvinul scored early to seal the outcome[7].
Traders should monitor official league score confirmations on platforms like Sporticos or Sofascore for post-match revisions, as Polymarket explicitly excludes score changes after resolution from outcome determination[8][10]. No further catalysts exist post-settlement, but pre-match dependencies included venue licensing—Corvinul’s home ground failed top-flight standards, forcing the match to Arad—a factor that initially influenced pre-game odds but proved irrelevant to the final result[7].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $110K.
Methodology
This page reviews FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercu… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →