Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Argeș Pitești O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Argeș Pitești 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Argeș Pitești (-1.5) | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Argeș Pitești (-2.5) | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Argeș Pitești O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Argeș Pitești O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Argeș Pitești 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Argeș Pitești 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Argeș Pitești 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this contract at **0% YES** today, even though the underlying fixture is FC Argeș Piteşti against FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc in the Romania SuperLiga, with settlement tied to a market category rather than the match result itself. On Polymarket, the position is held in USDC on Polygon and resolved through conditional tokens, so the price reflects the market’s current view of whether the listed “more markets” event will occur before the settlement window closes.[2]
For historical context, the direct meeting record does not point to a one-sided mismatch, which is one reason an absolute zero is notable. Across recent head-to-head data, Argeș have the edge in the broader sample, with several wins and more goals scored, while Csíkszereda have also taken results in past meetings; one recent fixture ended FC Argeș Piteşti 3–1 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc, while another finished 0–2 the other way.[1][8][16] That mix matters because “more markets” contracts often depend less on the football scoreline itself and more on whether the organiser actually publishes and keeps the contract open through settlement.
The main catalysts are administrative rather than tactical: match scheduling, whether the fixture starts on time, and whether the market’s resolution source posts the relevant official data before the window closes at 15:30 UTC. Traders should watch for lineup, postponement, and competition-status updates from live score providers and the club or league feed, because a delayed or materially changed fixture can alter whether any conditional outcome is created or resolved at all.[2][5][7]
Methodology
We track FC Argeș Pitești vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade FC Argeș Pitești vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc -… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →