Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC St. Gallen 1879 | 100% |
| Draw | 1% |
| FC Vaduz | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket prices this FC Vaduz v FC St. Gallen 1879 contract at **1% YES**, which implies the market is treating a Vaduz win, or whatever the market’s settlement criteria define as a YES, as a longshot on the current order book. Because the contract settles on outcomes recorded by the market’s oracle in USDC on Polygon, the practical question for traders is whether the live probability reflects stale liquidity or a genuinely remote football result.
The historical frame points away from Vaduz. St. Gallen have had the better of this pairing in recent comparable meetings, including a 1-0 league win in April 2021 and a 2-0 away win referenced by Vaduz’s own match report, while a July 2024 pre-season meeting also finished 1-0 to St. Gallen. Third-party H2H data still shows Vaduz can take points in this fixture more often than the name-brand status of the clubs might suggest, but recent league and friendly results have generally kept St. Gallen in the stronger position[1][5][9][18].
For traders, the main catalysts are lineup news, late injuries, and any pre-match rotation after midweek preparation, because those can move a 1% contract more than the broad form picture. FC Vaduz’s own preview lists kick-off at 14:00 local time at Rheinpark Stadion, while live match pages place the Super League fixture at 12:00 UTC / 15:00 local time, so resolution depends on the official competition record rather than fan polls or live-score feeds[4][7][12]. With the market running on conditional tokens, even small confirmation shifts — starting elevens, a postponed kick-off, or a goal that changes the settlement interpretation — matter more here than in a standard cash match view[6][7].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Trade FC Vaduz vs. FC St. Gallen 1879 on PolyGram
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