Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Mjallby AIF and Västerås SK are locked in a 0–0 Allsvenskan stalemate as the July 17 fixture reaches its final stages, with the crowd-implied probability for the “More Markets” contract sitting at 0% YES. On Polymarket, this USDC-denominated contract on Polygon trades as a near-certain NO, reflecting the on-chain conditional tokens’ immediate alignment with the live scoreline where no secondary event has triggered settlement.

Historically, Allsvenskan “More Markets” contracts tied to in-play secondary outcomes (such as late goals or specific card events) collapse to 0% when the match enters a deadlock past the 60th minute, mirroring the October 2024 Mjallby–Västerås clash that ended 1–0 with no late volatility [4]. The current 0% pricing aligns with this pattern: once the clock ticks beyond 75 minutes in a goalless draw, liquidity for YES shares evaporates as traders price in the near-zero chance of a late catalyst.

Traders should monitor the final 15 minutes for any sudden defensive errors or late substitutions that could spark a goal, though Sky Sports notes Västerås hold better recent form while Mjallby are expected to push for a win [2][5]. No new team announcements or schedule dependencies are pending; the sole catalyst remains the live match clock, with settlement fixed at 17:00 UTC on 17 July 2026. If the score remains 0–0, the contract settles NO automatically.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.