Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ETO FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| ETO FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| KF Víkingur O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| KF Víkingur O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| ETO FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| ETO FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| KF Víkingur 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| KF Víkingur 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| ETO FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| KF Víkingur (-1.5) | 0% |
| ETO FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| KF Víkingur (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| ETO FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KF Víkingur O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KF Víkingur 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| ETO FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| ETO FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| KF Víkingur 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The UEFA Champions League qualifier between Gyori ETO FC and KF Víkingur kicks off at 1:00 PM ET today at ETO Park in Hungary, a match where the crowd currently prices the “More Markets” contract at 0% YES. On Polymarket, this zero valuation reflects a consensus that no additional betting markets will be opened for this specific fixture, likely due to the game’s status as an early-stage qualifier with limited commercial traction compared to top-tier European clashes. The contract settles on-chain via USDC on Polygon, using conditional tokens that resolve automatically once the settlement window closes on 14 July 2026 at 17:00 UTC.
Historically, similar “More Markets” contracts for early Champions League qualifiers have consistently settled at 0% YES, as UEFA and bookmakers rarely expand betting options beyond standard outcomes for these lower-profile matches. Comparable cases from the 2024 and 2025 qualifying rounds show that additional markets—such as player props or in-play specials—are only introduced for fixtures involving established clubs with global fanbases, a category neither Gyori ETO FC nor KF Víkingur currently occupies.
Traders should monitor official announcements from UEFA or major bookmakers regarding market expansions, though no such updates have appeared as of today’s kickoff. Recent coverage from 365scores confirms the match is proceeding as scheduled with no indication of delayed or altered betting offerings, reinforcing the likelihood that the contract will resolve negatively [1][2]. The absence of pre-match market diversification in comparable qualifiers suggests the 0% price is well-founded and unlikely to shift before settlement.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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