Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this exact-score contract at **4% YES**, which means the market is assigning a low but non-trivial chance to one specific final result in Fenerbahçe SK v SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, settled on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. On Polymarket, traders are effectively buying and selling USDC-backed conditional tokens on Polygon, so the price reflects the crowd’s current view of that precise scoreline rather than the broader winner market.

The historical frame is limited but useful: the clubs have met twice in UEFA competition, with Fenerbahçe unbeaten across those ties and the results landing at 2-1 and 1-1 in 2017.[1][11][13] That profile matters for exact-score pricing because previous meetings between these sides have already produced a narrow win and a draw, both outcomes that sit in the same low-scoring band as many exact-score contracts. Recent form also points to competitive but not wild scoring patterns: Fenerbahçe came through its latest qualifying tie after a 1-1 away draw and a 1-0 home win, while Sturm Graz advanced with a 2-0 away win after a 4-0 home win.[5][12]

For traders, the main catalysts are team news, line-ups, and any last-minute changes to match timing or venue, because exact-score contracts are especially sensitive to a single goal swing. UEFA’s match page and live coverage indicate the fixture is active in the Champions League qualification context, and that keeps dependency risk centred on the actual 90-minute result rather than any knockout progression beyond regulation.[1][2][15] The settlement window ending at 18:00 UTC means the key question is simply what the scoreboard shows at full time, including stoppage, with extra time and penalties excluded.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.