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PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Team to Advance 100% PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5) 0% Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5) 0% PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5) 0% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $956K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Team to Advance100%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)0%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)0%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)0%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)0%
O/U 0.50%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 1.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The CSKA Sofia v Qarabağ Ağdam Europa League qualifier is trading at **0% YES** on Polymarket, so the contract is currently pricing no positive outcome for this “more markets” slate rather than the football result itself. On Polymarket, buyers use **USDC** on **Polygon**, with the market settled through conditional tokens once the relevant match-based condition is resolved.

That zero print should be read against a narrow, low-scoring historical backdrop. Qarabağ beat CSKA Sofia **1-0** in a friendly on 4 July and also won the teams’ 2023 Europa League meeting **1-0**, while the first leg of this tie in Sofia finished **0-0** on 23 July.[16][4][12] That pattern matters because it points to a fixture that has repeatedly sat on the edge of tight total-goals and match-state markets, where one goal can flip several conditional outcomes at once.[4][12]

For traders, the key catalysts are the final team news, late injury or rotation updates, and confirmation that the scheduled 8:00 pm local kick-off proceeds as expected at Vasil Levski National Stadium.[2][3][5] If the market’s “more markets” set depends on totals, both-teams-to-score, cards, or time-based thresholds, the main dependency is whether the return leg follows the same low-event tempo as the first leg; ESPN’s match page lists the tie as a second-leg qualifier and identifies CSKA’s and Qarabağ’s leading scorers and creators, underscoring how much these contracts can hinge on a small number of available attackers.[8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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