Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 100% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket currently prices this **conditional token** at **0% YES** for FC Sheriff Tiraspol to beat MH Maccabi Tel Aviv, so the market is treating the settlement as effectively closed unless the contract reprices before the window ends. The real-world match is an **UEFA Europa League qualifying** fixture scheduled for Thursday, 23 July 2026, and the contract settles against the game outcome rather than the broader competition narrative.[1][2]
A zero line like this usually reflects either an imminent no-settlement outcome, a very strong consensus that the relevant event will not resolve in the yes direction, or thin liquidity where the last trade has pushed the displayed price to the floor. For Polymarket users, the practical read is that there is little implied probability left to pay for on-chain exposure in **USDC on Polygon**, because the conditional tokens would only redeem into a yes outcome if the specified match result matches the market definition.[2][4]
The main catalysts are straightforward: official line-ups, any late postponement or venue change, and the final result as recorded before the settlement deadline, which is listed for **17:00 UTC**. Kick-off timing is a useful cross-check because listings differ slightly across data providers, with Sky Sports showing 18:00 local and other feeds showing 17:00 UTC/19:00 CEST, but all agree it is the same second-round qualifying tie at Sheriff’s ground in Tiraspol.[1][2][5]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $106K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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