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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) 100% Volume: $783K Liquidity: $936K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)100%
Match Winner73%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)66%
O/U 3.5 Games50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map Handicap: 100T (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)50%
Map 4 Winner49%
O/U 4.5 Games35%
Map 3 Winner10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs 100 Thieves (+4.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between 100 Thieves and NRG in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 12 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thie…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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