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Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FunPlus Phoenix (-2.5) vs Trace Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Trace Esports (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Trace Esports (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Trace Esports (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between FunPlus Phoenix and Trace Esports in the VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fun…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - V… on PolyGram

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