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Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 50% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 50% Volume: $211K Liquidity: $164K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)47%
O/U 2.5 Games29%
Map 2 Winner28%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5)25%
Match Winner14%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: tyloo vs xlg gaming (bo3) - vct china stage 2 seed deciders. This market refers to the Valorant Seeding match between TYLOO and XLG Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders, initially scheduled for July 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TYLOO"…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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