Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | 93% |
| Dallas Stars | 90% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 87% |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 86% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 85% |
| Florida Panthers | 82% |
| Minnesota Wild | 78% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 77% |
| Washington Capitals | 70% |
| Utah Mammoth | 66% |
| Montreal Canadiens | 63% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 57% |
| San Jose Sharks | 56% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 55% |
| New Jersey Devils | 54% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 52% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 52% |
| Ottawa Senators | 47% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 45% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 40% |
| St. Louis Blues | 36% |
| New York Rangers | 35% |
| Boston Bruins | 34% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 33% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 32% |
| Nashville Predators | 28% |
| New York Islanders | 27% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 25% |
| Seattle Kraken | 17% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 14% |
| Calgary Flames | 13% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 7% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, which teams will make the nhl playoffs? stands at 93% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team makes the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A team will be considered to have made the Playof…
Methodology
This page reviews Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs? across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Which teams will make the NHL Playoffs? on PolyGram
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