Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Match O/U 23.5 | 74% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Match O/U 22.5 | 72% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 Winner | 55% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek | 36% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4% |
| Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of iasi open: anna bondar vs tamara zidansek. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Tamara Zidansek in the Iasi Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Zidansek on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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