Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Match O/U 23.5 | 76% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Match O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Match O/U 22.5 | 75% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito | 34% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% |
| The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito Set 2 Winner | 15% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of the memphis classic, qualification: yexin ma vs aoi ito. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Yexin Ma and Aoi Ito in the The Memphis Classic, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Aoi Ito on PolyGram
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