Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Match O/U 21.5 | 99% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Match O/U 22.5 | 99% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Match O/U 23.5 | 99% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 1% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon wta: dayana yastremska vs jessica bouzas maneiro. This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daya…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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