Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 2 Winner | 99% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 99% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk | 23% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 1% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 1% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk. This market refers to the tennis match between Mckenna Schaefbauer and Angelina Voloshchuk in the ITF Women Santa Fe, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
We track ITF Santa Fe: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Angelina Voloshchuk across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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