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Minnesota United FC vs. Atlante FC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Minnesota United FC vs. Atlante FC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Minnesota United FC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $74K Liquidity: $416K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Minnesota United FC vs. Atlante FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Minnesota United FC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Minnesota United FC O/U 0.5100%
Minnesota United FC O/U 1.5100%
Minnesota United FC O/U 2.5100%
Atlante FC O/U 0.5100%
Atlante FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Minnesota United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Minnesota United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Atlante FC (-1.5)0%
Minnesota United FC (-2.5)0%
Atlante FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Atlante FC O/U 1.50%
Atlante FC O/U 2.50%
Minnesota United FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Minnesota United FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Atlante FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
Atlante FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Atlante FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Minnesota United FC will face Atlante FC in a Leagues Cup fixture on 11 August at 8:30 PM ET, with settlement occurring just after midnight on 12 August. The "More Markets" contract on Polymarket currently trades at 100% implied probability on Polygon, denominated in USDC, meaning traders are pricing near-certainty that additional betting markets will be offered for this matchup. The conditional token structure means settlement hinges on whether supplementary markets—beyond the primary win/loss/draw outcomes—actually materialise on the platform before the deadline.

Historical precedent suggests Polymarket routinely expands market offerings for major North American football competitions. The Leagues Cup, jointly operated by MLS and Liga MX, has generated multiple derivative markets in previous editions, particularly around goal-scorer props, corner counts, and card totals. When MLS fixtures draw sufficient volume, the platform typically deploys additional contracts within 48 hours of the primary market launch. The 100% pricing reflects this established pattern rather than any special circumstance unique to Minnesota United or Atlante.

Traders monitoring this contract should track Polymarket's official announcements and the platform's market creation timeline. Settlement depends entirely on Polymarket's internal decision to launch supplementary markets, not on match outcomes or team performance. Any delays in the platform's market-expansion schedule—whether due to technical issues, liquidity thresholds, or operational constraints—could affect settlement. The settlement window closes at 00:30 UTC on 12 August, leaving minimal margin for late market creation after the match concludes.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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