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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 68% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 66% Volume: $85K Liquidity: $509K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?68%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?66%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)63%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?54%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?45%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?37%
O/U 2.5 Games32%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game 2 Winner23%
Game 1 Winner22%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Match Winner14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors12%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 68% YES probability for LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDw…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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