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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 100% First Blood in Game 2? 99% Volume: $2.3M Liquidity: $656K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 2?99%
Match Winner97%
Game 2 Winner93%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?90%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)87%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?75%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?10%
O/U 2.5 Games9%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: karmine corp vs sentinels (bo3) - esports world cup group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and Sentinels in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 16 at 7:20AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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