Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| NRFI | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees | 95% |
| O/U 7.5 | 95% |
| Spread -1.5 | 93% |
| O/U 11.5 | 73% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Extra Innings | 50% |
| O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 4% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of detroit tigers vs. new york yankees. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 30 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers wi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $715K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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