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Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

Five-platform snapshot of "Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% O/U 6.5 69% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 64% O/U 7.5 59% Volume: $224K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.576%
O/U 6.569%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
O/U 7.559%
O/U 8.552%
Spread -1.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
NRFI49%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.542%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.540%
Spread -2.539%
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers33%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.528%
Spread -1.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.517%
Spread -2.516%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, kansas city royals vs. detroit tigers stands at 76% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for July 23 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 76% for "Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $224K.

Methodology

We track Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports