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New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers

How the prediction-market book is pricing "New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 55% NRFI 51% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 50% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 50% Volume: $441K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.555%
NRFI51%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
O/U 7.550%
Spread -2.545%
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers42%
O/U 8.542%
Spread -1.540%
O/U 9.537%
Spread -2.528%
Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.522%
Extra Innings16%

Market context

The New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction market currently prices this outcome at 55% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 22 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This mark…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 55% for "New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 55% Other 45%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $441K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers on PolyGram

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Related Topics

Sports