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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees

Five-platform snapshot of "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 64% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 59% NRFI 52% Volume: $187K Liquidity: $346K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.579%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.559%
NRFI52%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees47%
O/U 9.547%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.546%
Spread -1.540%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.516%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 79% probability to pittsburgh pirates vs. new york yankees. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 21 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the ga…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 79% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% Other 21%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $187K.

Methodology

This page reviews Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports