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Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Five-platform snapshot of "Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 62% NRFI 49% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 49% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $739K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.562%
NRFI49%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.549%
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays48%
O/U 8.547%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.538%
Spread -1.537%
Spread -1.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.525%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.517%
Extra Innings7%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to seattle mariners vs. tampa bay rays. In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 10 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. Thi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 75% for "Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $98K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports